Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 4.093522e-01 0.523852 0.647547 0.789435 0.946172 1.112684 1.301685
2025-09-21 2.279523e-01 0.373383 0.548354 0.765791 1.021652 1.307379 1.645347
2025-09-28 1.654286e-01 0.327126 0.536763 0.810180 1.143193 1.524554 1.984551
2025-10-05 1.251734e-01 0.298079 0.538044 0.863690 1.270957 1.746035 2.327064
2025-10-12 9.278914e-02 0.270120 0.533501 0.904018 1.378032 1.939453 2.633768
2025-10-19 7.493963e-02 0.259804 0.549765 0.968683 1.513280 2.165081 2.977236
2025-10-26 5.735036e-02 0.244176 0.555101 1.016530 1.625803 2.362280 3.286387
2025-11-02 3.680588e-02 0.214317 0.534687 1.026381 1.687851 2.496753 3.519942
2025-11-09 1.432119e-02 0.163214 0.472878 0.973171 1.664560 2.523833 3.622751
2025-11-16 2.285543e-03 0.117180 0.409618 0.911287 1.625095 2.527303 3.694093
2025-11-23 4.713165e-07 0.091672 0.377120 0.891028 1.638423 2.594666 3.841158
2025-11-30 NaN 0.079248 0.367633 0.904551 1.696752 2.718298 4.056601
2025-12-07 NaN 0.061789 0.344702 0.897516 1.729415 2.813437 4.242997
2025-12-14 NaN 0.043823 0.314501 0.876223 1.741171 2.881685 4.396840
2025-12-21 NaN 0.041910 0.324998 0.922699 1.848848 3.073945 4.704641
2025-12-28 NaN 0.042284 0.341895 0.980258 1.972638 3.287490 5.039410
2026-01-04 NaN 0.040008 0.350464 1.023244 2.075401 3.473621 5.340013
2026-01-11 NaN 0.042548 0.373839 1.092216 2.215926 3.709395 5.703060
2026-01-18 NaN 0.041838 0.386924 1.143139 2.330365 3.911110 6.023606
2026-01-25 NaN 0.034562 0.377406 1.153617 2.385748 4.035187 6.246707
2026-02-01 NaN 0.019436 0.332159 1.096991 2.341158 4.026382 6.301776
2026-02-08 NaN 0.008031 0.284771 1.031020 2.279518 3.992739 6.323645
2026-02-15 NaN 0.003615 0.262131 1.009395 2.282589 4.044070 6.452007